Global statistical maps of extreme-event magnetic observatory 1 min first differences in horizontal intensity

Jeffrey J. Love , Pierdavide Coïsson (1) , Antti Pulkkinen

1 IPGP - Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris

Analysis is made of the long-term statistics of three different measures of ground level, storm time geomagnetic activity: instantaneous 1 min first differences in horizontal intensity ΔB_h, the root-mean-square of 10 consecutive 1 min differences S, and the ramp change R over 10 min. Geomagnetic latitude maps of the cumulative exceedances of these three quantities are constructed, giving the threshold (nT/min) for which activity within a 24 h period can be expected to occur once per year, decade, and century. Specifically, at geomagnetic 55°, we estimate once-per-century ΔB_h, S, and R exceedances and a site-to-site, proportional, 1 standard deviation range [1 σ, lower and upper] to be, respectively, 1000, [690, 1450]; 500, [350, 720]; and 200, [140, 280] nT/min. At 40°, we estimate once-per-century ΔB_h, S, and R exceedances and 1 σ values to be 200, [140, 290]; 100, [70, 140]; and 40, [30, 60] nT/min.

Keywords: geomagnetism; magnetic storms; natural hazards; space weather; extreme events; statistical maps

Domains: Sciences of the Universe [physics]; Earth Sciences

Jeffrey J. Love, Pierdavide Coïsson, Antti Pulkkinen. Global statistical maps of extreme-event magnetic observatory 1 min first differences in horizontal intensity. Geophysical Research Letters, 2016, 43, pp.4126-4135. ⟨10.1002/2016GL068664⟩. ⟨insu-03748797⟩