Extreme rainfall in Mediterranean France during the fall: added value of the CNRM-AROME Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model

Quentin Fumière (1) , Michel Déqué (1) , Olivier Nuissier (1) , Samuel Somot (1) , Antoinette Alias (1) , Cécile Caillaud (1) , Olivier Laurantin , Yann Seity (1)

1 CNRM - Centre national de recherches météorologiques

South-East France is a region often affected by heavy precipitating events the characteristics of which are likely to be significantly impacted in the future climate. In this study, uc(cnrm-arome), a Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model with a 2.5 km horizontal resolution is compared to its forcing model, the Regional Climate Model uc(aladin-c)limate at a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km, self-driven by the uc(era-i)nterim reanalysis. An hourly observation dataset with a resolution of 1 km, uc(comephore), is used in order to assess simulated surface precipitation from a seasonal to hourly scale. The representation of the spatial pattern of fall precipitation climatology is improved by uc(cnrm-arome). It also shows a clear added value with respect to uc(aladin-c)limate through the improvement of the localization and intensity of extreme rainfall on a daily and hourly time scale on both fine and coarse spatial scales (2.5, 12.5 and 50 km). uc(cnrm-arome) in particular is able to simulate intense rainfall on lowlands and makes sub-daily rainfall events more intense than uc(aladin-c)limate. uc(cnrm-arome) still underestimates very extreme precipitation from above 30 mm/h or 230 mm/day.

Mots clés: Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model; Heavy precipitating events; Added value; uc(cnrm-arome); uc(aladin-c)limate; uc(comephore)

Domaines: Planète et Univers [physics]; Sciences de la Terre

Quentin Fumière, Michel Déqué, Olivier Nuissier, Samuel Somot, Antoinette Alias, et al.. Extreme rainfall in Mediterranean France during the fall: added value of the CNRM-AROME Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 2019, 55, pp.77-91. ⟨10.1007/s00382-019-04898-8⟩. ⟨insu-03668354⟩