Calculate the Energy of Active Regions and Solar Disk on Satellite Images for Real-Time Solar Flare Forecasting

O.W. Ahmed , Rami Qahwaji (1) , T. Colak , Stan Ipson (1) , Thierry Dudok de Wit (2)

1 University of Bradford
2 LPCE - Laboratoire de physique et chimie de l'environnement

It is extremely important to design preventive measures to avoid or mitigate the influence of space weather. Severe solar activities could have a catastrophic impact on human activities in general i.e. damaging satellites, flight navigation, power distribution stations, telecommunications, etc. In this paper, a new model has been designed and implemented to calculate the energy of solar active regions and the solar disk energy. The method has been tested in a series of experiments and a relationship has been found between the calculated energies and solar flare events. A final automated real-time model will be designed later to provide flare forecasting, based on the proposed model.

Mots clés: active region energy; solar disk energy; satellite images; Ising model

Domaines: Planète et Univers [physics]

O.W. Ahmed, Rami Qahwaji, T. Colak, Stan Ipson, Thierry Dudok de Wit. Calculate the Energy of Active Regions and Solar Disk on Satellite Images for Real-Time Solar Flare Forecasting. International Conference on Cyberworlds (CW 2009), Sep 2009, Bradford, United Kingdom. ⟨10.1109/CW.2009.18⟩. ⟨insu-01969532⟩