A. L. Berger, Long-Term Variations of Daily Insolation and Quaternary Climatic Changes, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.35, issue.12, pp.2362-2367, 1978.
DOI : 10.1175/1520-0469(1978)035<2362:LTVODI>2.0.CO;2

R. Bintanja, R. S. Van-de-wal, and J. Oerlemans, Modelled atmospheric temperatures and global sea levels over the past million years, Nature, vol.270, issue.9, pp.125-128, 2005.
DOI : 10.1016/S0277-3791(01)00106-8

M. Crucifix and J. Rougier, On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions, The European Physical Journal Special Topics, vol.174, issue.1, pp.11-31, 2009.
DOI : 10.1140/epjst/e2009-01087-5

A. Dutton, E. Bard, F. Antonioli, T. M. Esat, K. Lambeck et al., Phasing and amplitude of sea-level and climate change during the penultimate interglacial, Nature Geoscience, vol.3, issue.5, pp.355-359, 2009.
DOI : 10.1016/0019-1035(90)90084-M

J. Hargreaves and J. Annan, Assimilation of paleo-data in a simple Earth system model, Clim. Dynam, vol.19, pp.371-381, 2002.

W. Hastings, Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications, Biometrika, vol.57, issue.1, pp.97-109, 1970.
DOI : 10.1093/biomet/57.1.97

J. D. Hays, J. Imbrie, and N. J. Shackleton, Variations in the Earth's Orbit: Pacemaker of the Ice Ages, Science, vol.194, issue.4270, pp.1121-1132, 1976.
DOI : 10.1126/science.194.4270.1121

P. Huybers, Combined obliquity and precession pacing of late Pleistocene deglaciations, Nature, vol.102, issue.7376, pp.229-232, 2011.
DOI : 10.1038/nature10626

P. Huybers and C. Wunsch, Obliquity pacing of the late Pleistocene glacial terminations, Nature, vol.81, issue.7032, pp.490-494, 2005.
DOI : 10.1016/S0167-2789(00)00043-9

J. Z. Imbrie, A. Imbrie-moore, and L. E. Lisiecki, A phase-space model for Pleistocene ice volume, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, vol.307, issue.1-2, pp.94-102, 2011.
DOI : 10.1016/j.epsl.2011.04.018

K. Kawamura, F. Parrenin, R. Uemura, F. Vimeux, J. P. Severinghaus et al., Northern Hemisphere forcing of climatic cycles in Antarctica over the past 360,000???years, Nature, vol.293, issue.7156, pp.912-917, 2007.
DOI : 10.1038/nature06015

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00376337

M. Khodri, Y. Leclainche, G. Ramstein, P. Braconnot, O. Marti et al., Simulating the amplification of orbital forcing by ocean feedbacks in the last glaciation, Nature, pp.410-570, 2001.

J. Laskar, P. Robutel, F. Joutel, M. Gastineau, A. C. Correia et al., A long-term numerical solution for the insolation quantities of??the??Earth, Astronomy & Astrophysics, vol.428, issue.1, pp.261-285, 2004.
DOI : 10.1051/0004-6361:20041335

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00001603

L. E. Lisiecki, A benthic ? 13 C-based proxy for atmospheric pCO 2 over the last 1.5 Myr, Geophys. Res. Lett, vol.37, pp.10-1029, 2010.

L. E. Lisiecki and M. E. Raymo, A Plio-Pleistocene Stack of 57 Globally Distributed Benthic ? 18 O Records, pp.10-1029, 2005.

M. Loutre, Paramètres orbitaux et cycles diurne et saisonnier des insolations, 1993.

N. Metropolis, A. Rosenbluth, M. Rosenbluth, A. Teller, and E. Teller, Equation of State Calculations by Fast Computing Machines, The Journal of Chemical Physics, vol.21, issue.6, pp.1087-1092, 1953.
DOI : 10.1063/1.1699114

D. Paillard, The timing of Pleistocene glaciations from a simple multiple-state climate model, Nature, vol.391, issue.6665, pp.378-381, 1998.
DOI : 10.1038/34891

D. Paillard, L. Labeyrie, Y. , and P. , Macintosh Program performs time-series analysis, Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, vol.77, issue.39, pp.37910-1029, 1996.
DOI : 10.1029/96EO00259

F. Parrenin and D. Paillard, Amplitude and phase of glacial cycles from a conceptual model, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, vol.214, issue.1-2, pp.243-250, 2003.
DOI : 10.1016/S0012-821X(03)00363-7

M. E. Raymo, The timing of major climate terminations, Paleoceanography, vol.77, issue.17, pp.577-585, 1997.
DOI : 10.1029/97PA01169

A. Tarantola, Inverse Poblem Theory: Methods for Data Fitting and Model Parameter Estimation, 1987.

P. C. Tzedakis, E. W. Wolff, L. C. Skinner, V. Brovkin, D. A. Hodell et al., Can we predict the duration of an interglacial?, Clim. Past, vol.85194, pp.1473-148510, 1473.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00844389