Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
Journal articles

Towards forecasting volcanic eruptions using seismic noise

Abstract : Volcanic eruptions are preceded by increased magma pressures, leading to the inflation of volcanic edifices1. Ground deformation resulting from volcano inflation can be revealed by various techniques such as spaceborne radar interferometry2, or by strain- and tiltmeters3. Monitoring this process in real time can provide us with useful information to forecast volcanic eruptions. In some cases, however, volcano inflation can be localized at depth with no measurable effects at the surface, and despite considerable effort4, 5 monitoring changes in volcanic interiors has proven to be difficult. Here we use the properties of ambient seismic noise recorded over an 18-month interval to show that changes in the interior of the Piton de la Fournaise volcano can be monitored continuously by measuring very small relative seismic-velocity perturbations, of the order of 0.05%. Decreases in seismic velocity a few weeks before eruptions suggest pre-eruptive inflation of the volcanic edifice, probably due to increased magma pressure. The ability to record the inflation of volcanic edifices in this fashion should improve our ability to forecast eruptions and their intensity and potential environmental impact.
Complete list of metadata

Cited literature [32 references]  Display  Hide  Download
Contributor : Pascale Talour Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Thursday, August 6, 2020 - 5:24:01 PM
Last modification on : Tuesday, November 23, 2021 - 10:20:06 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Monday, November 30, 2020 - 3:59:40 PM


Files produced by the author(s)



F. Brenguier, N.M. Shapiro, Michel Campillo, V. Ferrazzini, Z. Duputel, et al.. Towards forecasting volcanic eruptions using seismic noise. Nature Geoscience, Nature Publishing Group, 2008, 1 (2), pp.126-130. ⟨10.1038/ngeo104⟩. ⟨insu-00332590⟩



Record views


Files downloads