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On the changing seasonal cycles and trends of ozone at Mace Head, Ireland
Carslaw D.C.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 5, 12 (2005) 3441-3450 - http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00295812
Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture
Planète et Univers/Océan, Atmosphère
On the changing seasonal cycles and trends of ozone at Mace Head, Ireland
D. C. Carslaw 1
1 :  Institute for Transport Studies
Institute for Transport Studies
Royaume-Uni
A seasonal-trend decomposition technique based on a locally-weighted regression smoothing (Loess) approach has been used to decompose monthly ozone concentrations at Mace Head (Ireland) into trend, seasonal and irregular components. The trend component shows a steady increase from 1990?2004, which is confirmed by statistical testing which shows that ozone concentrations at Mace Head have increased at the p=0.06 level by 0.18±0.04 ppb yr?1. By considering different air mass origins using a trajectory analysis, it has been possible to separate air masses into "polluted" and "unpolluted" origins. The seasonal-trend decomposition technique confirms the different seasonal cycles of these air mass origins with unpolluted air mass maxima in April and polluted air mass maxima in July/August. A detailed consideration of the seasonal component reveals different behaviour depending on the air mass origin. For baseline unpolluted air arriving at Mace Head there has been a gradual increase in the seasonal amplitude, driven by a declining summertime component. The amplitude of the seasonal component of baseline air is controlled by a maximum in April and a minimum in July. For polluted air mass trajectories, there was a substantial reduction in the amplitude of the seasonal component from 1990?1997. However, post-1997 results indicate that the seasonal amplitude in polluted air masses arriving at Mace Head is increasing. Furthermore, there has been a shift in the months controlling the size of the seasonal amplitude in polluted air from a maximum in May and minimum in January in 1990 to a maximum in April and a minimum in July by 2001. This finding suggests that there has been a steadily decreasing influence of polluted air masses arriving from Europe. These air masses have therefore increasingly taken on the attributes of baseline air.
Anglais
20/12/2005

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Publisher European Geosciences Union (EGU)
ISSN 1680-7316 (eISSN : 1680-7324)
internationale
20/12/2005
5
12
3441-3450

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acp-5-3441-2005.pdf(646 KB)