| Type de publication : |
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Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture |
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| Domaine : |
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Planète et Univers/Océan, Atmosphère
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| Titre : |
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On the changing seasonal cycles and trends of ozone at Mace Head, Ireland |
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| Auteur(s) : |
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D. C. Carslaw 1 |
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| Laboratoire : |
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| Résumé : |
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A seasonal-trend decomposition technique based on a locally-weighted regression smoothing (Loess) approach has been used to decompose monthly ozone concentrations at Mace Head (Ireland) into trend, seasonal and irregular components. The trend component shows a steady increase from 1990?2004, which is confirmed by statistical testing which shows that ozone concentrations at Mace Head have increased at the p=0.06 level by 0.18±0.04 ppb yr?1. By considering different air mass origins using a trajectory analysis, it has been possible to separate air masses into "polluted" and "unpolluted" origins. The seasonal-trend decomposition technique confirms the different seasonal cycles of these air mass origins with unpolluted air mass maxima in April and polluted air mass maxima in July/August. A detailed consideration of the seasonal component reveals different behaviour depending on the air mass origin. For baseline unpolluted air arriving at Mace Head there has been a gradual increase in the seasonal amplitude, driven by a declining summertime component. The amplitude of the seasonal component of baseline air is controlled by a maximum in April and a minimum in July. For polluted air mass trajectories, there was a substantial reduction in the amplitude of the seasonal component from 1990?1997. However, post-1997 results indicate that the seasonal amplitude in polluted air masses arriving at Mace Head is increasing. Furthermore, there has been a shift in the months controlling the size of the seasonal amplitude in polluted air from a maximum in May and minimum in January in 1990 to a maximum in April and a minimum in July by 2001. This finding suggests that there has been a steadily decreasing influence of polluted air masses arriving from Europe. These air masses have therefore increasingly taken on the attributes of baseline air. |
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Langue du texte
intégral : |
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Anglais |
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Date de production,
écriture : |
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20/12/2005 |
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| Journal : |
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| Audience : |
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internationale |
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| Date de publication : |
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20/12/2005 |
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| Volume : |
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5 |
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| Numéro : |
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12 |
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| Page, identifiant, ... : |
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3441-3450 |
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